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Tuesday, 16 July 2024

Thoughts on the recent British general election - Three key points; Immigration, Proportional Representation, and the Pollsters.


Immigration - 

Keir Starmer has largely avoided addressing immigration, for instance, even after one of his MPs, Jess Phillips, was subjected to abusive shouting after winning the election. 

He's pitiful and will EASILY be pushed around, quite rightly, by the incoming Trump administration.


When asked about this incident, Phillips denied that it was related to Islam and instead attributed it to a general dislike of women by some men. This response seems dismissive of the specific context of the abuse.

Once again, they are not even in denial, but are absolutely PETRIFIED of being called a racist; like Kryptonite to Superman.

And I can only say, that this WILL bring this government down in the future, ie. their denial of a growing Islamic presence in the UK, and a kowtowing even to the most radical elements of it.


Proportional Representation (PR) -


It was interesting to see the press reaction to the Labour victory. They seem to avoid reporting certain facts and are instead focusing heavily on Keir Starmer. Notably, while Labour received only a third of the vote, they now hold two-thirds of the MPs, highlighting the urgent need for a proportional representation (PR) system. 

Keep in mind, we did indeed have a vote on this some years back, but it was soundly defeated, although it was really not a true PR system according to many.

Voting Totals:

Labour’s position of holding two-thirds of MPs with only a third of the vote is unacceptable. There's evidence showing that Labour and Keir Starmer’s supporters needed around 24,000 votes to secure one MP, while the Conservative Party required approximately 56,000 votes for the same result. This disparity is outrageous and underscores the necessity for a PR system.

PR would benefit parties like Reform, which received 14% of the vote but with only 5 MPS, but then again Nigel Farage has always been a supporter of PR.  The Liberal Democrats, who have also always supported PR, would be fairly represented, and even the Conservatives, with around 24% of the vote but only about 19% of the MPs, would benefit from a fairer system.

It's something that should be immediately put to the public vote. 

Pollsters and Polls - 


Despite Labour having 34% of the vote compared to the Conservatives' 24%, the pollsters' predictions were wildly inaccurate

At one point, polls suggested (The YouGov poll of 7-8 May) a Labour landslide with a lead of 30 percentage points!  This misrepresentation may have been intended to demoralize Conservative voters, leading them to believe they had no chance.

The low voter turnout of around 52-59% suggests that many Conservative supporters might have been dissuaded from voting due to these skewed polls. It is crucial to address this manipulation by pollsters to ensure fair and transparent elections in the future.

Fun times indeed lie ahead as we navigate these challenges.

Recht

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